> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.supermisson.fun/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Smart Money Tracking

> How Supermission identifies, tracks, and analyzes profitable prediction market wallets.

# Following the smart money

Smart money tracking identifies the most profitable Polymarket wallets and monitors their trading activity in real-time. When a wallet with a 72% win rate and +`$45K` PnL buys into a market, that's worth knowing.

## How it works

<Steps>
  <Step title="Wallet identification">
    Supermission tracks 100-200 of the most profitable wallets on Polymarket based on historical PnL, win rate, and trading consistency.
  </Step>

  <Step title="Continuous monitoring">
    When a tracked wallet places a trade, Supermission detects it via the Polymarket Data API.
  </Step>

  <Step title="AI thesis generation">
    For each detected trade, an AI agent generates a thesis explaining WHY the wallet likely traded — combining market context, recent news, and the wallet's historical patterns.
  </Step>

  <Step title="Signal surfaced">
    The smart money move appears in the Whale Intelligence panel with wallet stats, trade details, and the AI-generated thesis.
  </Step>
</Steps>

## Wallet classification

Each tracked wallet is classified by trading style:

| Style           | Pattern           | Description                                                               |
| --------------- | ----------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| **Sniper**      | Fast in, fast out | Takes quick positions on breaking news, typically sells before resolution |
| **Accumulator** | Slow buildup      | Gradually builds large positions over days/weeks, holds to resolution     |
| **Contrarian**  | Fades the crowd   | Consistently bets against consensus, profits from market overreactions    |
| **Momentum**    | Follows trends    | Enters when price is already moving, rides the wave                       |

## Smart money card anatomy

Each smart money move displays:

1. **Wallet header** — Anonymized identifier, win rate badge, PnL badge, trading style tag
2. **Trade action** — "Bought YES @ 31¢" or "Sold NO @ 82¢"
3. **Market question** — The market they traded
4. **AI thesis** — 3-5 sentence explanation of probable reasoning
5. **Wallet stats** — Win rate %, total PnL, average trade size
6. **Time** — When the trade was detected
7. **Trade along button** — Execute the same trade with one click

## AI thesis example

> This wallet (72% win rate, +`$45K` PnL) just bought YES at 31¢ on "Will BTC reach `$80K` by April?" Their thesis is likely momentum-driven: BTC up 12% this week with strong institutional inflows. The wallet has a pattern of entering crypto markets early when momentum signals align. Current market odds (31%) appear to underweight the probability given recent price action.

## What this is NOT

<Warning>
  Smart money tracking is not "copy trading." Large holders can be wrong, can be hedging other positions, or can have time horizons completely different from yours.

  Use whale data as one input among many — alongside [AI signals](/ai/signals) and [War Room](/ai/war-room) analysis. The AI thesis is a hypothesis, not a guarantee.
</Warning>

## The strongest setup

When all three intelligence layers align:

| Layer           | Signal                                                  |
| --------------- | ------------------------------------------------------- |
| **AI Signal**   | Multi-agent system finds meaningful price divergence    |
| **War Room**    | High conviction, agents agree, edge calculator confirms |
| **Smart Money** | Profitable wallets positioning in the same direction    |

This triple confirmation is the highest-probability setup Supermission can surface.

<Tip>
  Pay special attention when a Contrarian-style wallet agrees with the AI's thesis. If even the "fade the crowd" wallet is going with the consensus, the evidence is likely overwhelming.
</Tip>