AI that shows its work
Every prediction market tool gives you a probability. Supermission gives you the argument. Our AI system isn’t a single model making guesses. It’s four independent agents with different analytical biases — Bull, Bear, Contrarian, and Quant — that analyze every market, debate the evidence, and produce a synthesized view with full transparency.The philosophy
Don’t delegate understanding. Every signal shows its thesis. Every edge card shows the full reasoning chain. Every War Room analysis shows the agent debate. You’re not trusting a black box — you’re evaluating arguments from four distinct perspectives and deciding for yourself.The 4-agent system
| Agent | Role | Analytical bias | Data priorities |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull | Narrative and source credibility analysis | Qualitative | Source credibility, political dynamics, institutional incentives, social context |
| Bear | Microstructure and price-in analysis | Structural | Whether news is already priced in, trading volume, liquidity, bid-ask spread dynamics |
| Contrarian | Asks “what if everyone is wrong?” | Skeptical | Crowded trades, false consensus, scenarios the market isn’t pricing, regime changes |
| Quant | Base-rate anchoring with statistical rigor | Quantitative | Historical frequency, current market prices vs base rates, time remaining, calibration |
AI features across the terminal
AI Signals
Real-time alerts when the AI’s probability diverges from market price. Three types: Sentiment (research-driven edge), Momentum (price confirms AI), Spot Price (crypto threshold triggers). Confidence-scored 0-100.
Signal Feed
Dedicated filterable feed of all active signals. Filter by type, category, confidence minimum. Sort by confidence, volume, ending soon, or price change. Cursor-based infinite pagination.
AI War Room
The flagship feature. 4-agent debate with Edge Calculator, Conviction Meter (with audio chime at extreme levels), agent cards with reasoning, Key Doubt from the Contrarian, and Accuracy Scoreboard.
Oracle Agent
Chat-based trading assistant in the Markets terminal. Search markets, analyze positions, place trades, sell positions, manage portfolio — all through natural language with SSE streaming responses.
Whale Intelligence
Top 20 holders per market with position sizes, outcome badges, and aggregate whale sentiment. Surfaces “Smart money leans YES/NO” when whale positions lean 55%+ in one direction.
Alpha Scanner
Automated edge detection running every 30 minutes. Compares AI probability vs market price, calculates EV and Kelly criterion sizing, classifies edges as high conviction / moderate / speculative.
Auto-Pilot
Autonomous trade execution. Set budget, risk tolerance, and signal preferences. The system executes when high-conviction opportunities appear. Full audit trail for every decision (including skips).
Signal strength hierarchy
The strongest trade setups combine multiple AI layers:AI Signal fires
The multi-agent system finds a meaningful divergence between its probability and the market price. Confidence score is 70+ and agents largely agree.
War Room confirms
Edge Calculator shows significant mispricing. Conviction Meter is high (70%+). Agent Debate Panel shows 3/4 or 4/4 agents aligned.
Whales align
Top Holders panel shows large positions leaning in the same direction as the AI’s thesis. Smart money sentiment crosses 55% threshold.
Market tiering
Not all markets get the same AI treatment. Analysis depth scales with market importance:| Tier | Criteria | Analysis | Update frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 | Trending OR volume > $50K | Full 4-agent debate with judge synthesis | Every 15 minutes |
| Tier 2 | Volume > $5K | 2-agent quick analysis (Bull + Bear) | Every 30 minutes |
| Tier 3 | Everything else | Single-model sentiment only | Every 60 minutes |