Following the smart money
Smart money tracking identifies the most profitable Polymarket wallets and monitors their trading activity in real-time. When a wallet with a 72% win rate and +$45K PnL buys into a market, that’s worth knowing.
How it works
Wallet identification
Supermission tracks 100-200 of the most profitable wallets on Polymarket based on historical PnL, win rate, and trading consistency.
Continuous monitoring
When a tracked wallet places a trade, Supermission detects it via the Polymarket Data API.
AI thesis generation
For each detected trade, an AI agent generates a thesis explaining WHY the wallet likely traded — combining market context, recent news, and the wallet’s historical patterns.
Wallet classification
Each tracked wallet is classified by trading style:| Style | Pattern | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Sniper | Fast in, fast out | Takes quick positions on breaking news, typically sells before resolution |
| Accumulator | Slow buildup | Gradually builds large positions over days/weeks, holds to resolution |
| Contrarian | Fades the crowd | Consistently bets against consensus, profits from market overreactions |
| Momentum | Follows trends | Enters when price is already moving, rides the wave |
Smart money card anatomy
Each smart money move displays:- Wallet header — Anonymized identifier, win rate badge, PnL badge, trading style tag
- Trade action — “Bought YES @ 31¢” or “Sold NO @ 82¢”
- Market question — The market they traded
- AI thesis — 3-5 sentence explanation of probable reasoning
- Wallet stats — Win rate %, total PnL, average trade size
- Time — When the trade was detected
- Trade along button — Execute the same trade with one click
AI thesis example
This wallet (72% win rate, +$45KPnL) just bought YES at 31¢ on “Will BTC reach$80Kby April?” Their thesis is likely momentum-driven: BTC up 12% this week with strong institutional inflows. The wallet has a pattern of entering crypto markets early when momentum signals align. Current market odds (31%) appear to underweight the probability given recent price action.
What this is NOT
The strongest setup
When all three intelligence layers align:| Layer | Signal |
|---|---|
| AI Signal | Multi-agent system finds meaningful price divergence |
| War Room | High conviction, agents agree, edge calculator confirms |
| Smart Money | Profitable wallets positioning in the same direction |